Productivity Trends 2026: What the Data Actually Shows
The defining productivity story of 2026 is not that AI arrived. It is that AI arrived almost everywhere and the results have not shown up on the balance sheet. Adoption is close to universal. Behavioural data from ActivTrak covering 443 million work hours across 1,111 companies puts AI adoption at 80%. Yet a National Bureau of Economic Research survey of roughly 6,000 executives found that between 89% and 95% of firms saw no measurable impact on productivity or employment over the preceding three years.